FINAL PROGRAM
THIRD U.S. ARMY CONFERENCE ON APPLIED STATISTICS
20-24 October, 1997

Hosted by George Mason University

Cosponsored by:

U.S. Army Research Laboratory
U.S. Army Research Office
National Institute of Standards and Technology
TRADOC Analysis Center-WSMR
United States Military Academy
Walter Reed Army Institute of Research


Monday, 20 October 1997

0800 - 0900 REGISTRATION
George W. Johnson Center - Lobby Area, Cinema - Multipurpose Room

0900 - 1200 TUTORIAL
George W. Johnson Center, Cinema

VIRTUAL REALITY AND SCIENTIFIC VISUALIZATION
Edward J. Wegman and Daniel B. Carr, George Mason University

1200 - 1330 Lunch

1330 - 1600 TUTORIAL
Science Technology I, Room 228
Tuesday, 21 October 1997

0800 - 1200 TUTORIAL
George W. Johnson Center, Cinema
1200 - 1330 Lunch

1330 - 1600 TUTORIAL
Science Technology I, Room 228
Wednesday, 22 October 1997

0800 - 0900 REGISTRATION
George W. Johnson Center - Lobby Area, Cinema - Multipurpose Room


0900 - 0930 CALL TO ORDER
George W. Johnson Center, Multipurpose Room

Conference Chairman: Barry Bodt, U.S. Army Research Laboratory
Conference Host: Edward Wegman, George Mason University

OPENING REMARKS

W. Murray Black, Director, Institute for Computational Sciences and
Informatics, George Mason University

Jagdish Chandra, Deputy Director, Information Science and Technology
Directorate, Army Research Laboratory

0930 - 1200 GENERAL SESSION I
George W. Johnson Center, Multipurpose Room

Chair: Douglas Tang, Walter Reed Army Institute of Research

0930 - 1030 KEYNOTE ADDRESS

KRUSKAL-WALLIS, MULTIPLE COMPARISONS, AND EFRON DICE
Thomas Hettmansperger, Penn State University

1030 - 1045 PRESIDENT’S WELCOME
Alan Merten, President, George Mason University

10:45-11:15 Break

1115 - 1215 MODEL ROBUST REGRESSION: MOTIVATION, RESULTS, AND
APPLICATIONS
Jeffrey Birch, Virginia Tech, James E. Mays, Virginia Commonwealth Univ.

1215 - 1330 Lunch

1330 - 1430 CONTRIBUTED SESSION I (in parallel with Contributed Session II and IIa)
George W. Johnson Center, Multipurpose Room

Chair: Robert Burge, Walter Reed Army Institute of Research

SPLIT-PLOT DESIGNS FOR EXPERIMENTS THAT AUGMENT
OPERATIONAL FLIGHT TESTS WITH DIGITAL SIMULATIONS
Frank B. Gray, Air Force Operational Test and Evaluation Center

DEVELOPMENT OF INFERENCE ALGORITHMS FOR WORLDWIDE
APPLICATION OF STANDARD DIGITAL TERRAIN DATA TO THE NATO
MOBILITY MODEL
C. Denise Bullock and Nancy A. Renfroe, Waterways Experiment Station

1330 - 1430 CONTRIBUTED SESSION II (in parallel with Contributed Session I and IIa)
George W. Johnson Center, Assembly Room A

Chair: Deloris Testerman, Yuma Proving Ground

A METHODOLOGY FOR EVALUATING PREDICTION UNCERTAINTY
Michael D. McKay, Los Alamos National Laboratory

1330 - 1430 CONTRIBUTED SESSION IIa (in parallel with Contributed Session I, II)
George W. Johnson Center, Assembly Room B

Chair: Linda Moss, U.S. Army Research Laboratory

ROBUST ADAPTIVE BEAMFORMING FOR SPATIALLY SPREAD
SOURCES
Kristine L. Bell and Harry L. Van Trees, George Mason University

DOA ESTIMATION WITH HEXAGONAL ARRAYS
Zhi Tian and Harry L. Van Trees, George Mason University

1430 - 1445 Break

1445 - 1700 GENERAL SESSION II
George W. Johnson, Multipurpose Room

Chair: Mark Vangel, National Institute of Standards and Technology

1445 - 1545 BUILDING RELIABLE, INTERPRETABLE MODELS USING NEURAL
NETWORKS
Lyle H. Ungar, University of Pennsylvania

1545 - 1600 Break

1600 - 1700 SIMPSON'S PARADOX AND ITS PRACTICAL IMPLICATIONS
Judea Pearl, University of California, Los Angeles

1830 - WILKS AWARD BANQUET
Performing Arts Center, Third Floor

1830 - 1900 SOCIAL (Cash Bar)
1900 - BANQUET

Piano Entertainment by Professor A. Richard Bolstein

Thursday, 23 October 1997

0830 - 0930 GENERAL SESSION III
George W. Johnson Center, Multipurpose Room

Chair: Robert Launer, U.S. Army Research Office

BAYESIAN STATISTICS: ATTITUDES AND METHODS
Donald Berry, Duke University

0930 - 1000 Break
1000 - 1200 CONTRIBUTED SESSION III (in parallel with Contributed Session IV)
George W. Johnson Center, Assembly Room A

Chair: David Webb, U.S. Army Research Laboratory

A CALIBRATION STUDY OF THE MOBILE ARMY CAMOUFLAGE
EVALUATION (MACE) SYSTEM USING HUMAN CAMOUFLAGE
EFFECTIVENESS JUDGMENTS
Kragg P. Kysor, Jock O. Grynovicki, Michael Golden, U.S. Army Research
Laboratory

A TEST FOR INTERACTION IN A TWO-WAY LAYOUT WITH ONE
OBSERVATION PER TREATMENT COMBINATION
Robert Launer, U.S. Army Research Office, George Washington University

THE UPSIDE-DOWN FUNNEL
Barney Bissinger and John Boyarski, Naval Inventory Control Point

EXPLORATION OF SATELLITE IMAGES IN THE DYNAMICALLY
LINKED ARCVIEW/XGOBI/XPLORE ENVIRONMENT
Juergen Symanzik, George Mason University, Dianne Cook, Iowa State
University, Sigbert Klinke, Humboldt-Universitaet zu Berlin

1000 - 1200 CONTRIBUTED SESSION IV (in parallel with Contributed Session III)
George W. Johnson Center, Assembly Room B

Chair: Jay Conover, Texas Tech

ADVENTURES IN DISCRIMINANT ANALYSIS
David Marchette and Jeff Solka, Naval Surface Warfare Center

COMBINATORIAL TESTS FOR VALIDATION OF CLUSTER ANALYSES
Bernie Harris, University of Wisconsin-Madison

BEST SUBSET SELECTION USING A TWO STAGE GENETIC
ALGORITHM
Bradley C. Wallet, Naval Surface Warfare Center

VISUAL EXPLORATORY SPATIAL DATA ANALYSIS WITH MANET
Adalbert F.X. Wilhelm, George Mason University


1200 - 1330 Lunch
1330 - 1430 GENERAL SESSION IV
George W. Johnson Center, Multipurpose Room

Chair: Bernie Harris, University of Wisconsin-Madison

NONPARAMETRIC DISCRIMINANT ANALYSIS IN HIGH DIMENSIONS
VIA GENERALIZED INTERPOINT DISTANCES
Carey E. Priebe, Johns Hopkins University

1430 - 1445 Break
1445 - 1645 CONTRIBUTED SESSION V (in parallel with Contributed Session VI)
George W. Johnson Center, Assembly Room A

Chair: LTC Robert Hammell, U.S. Army Research Laboratory

SOFT COMPUTING, MODELING AND FUNCTION APPROXIMATION
Thomas Sudkamp, Wright State University

FUZZY CONTROL OF ROBOT COMMUNICATIONS
Aivars Celmins, U.S. Army Research Laboratory

APPLICATIONS OF FUZZY LOGIC TO STATISTICAL ANALYSIS
Dan Ralescu, University of Cincinnati

ANIMATION OF DUST PARTICLE BEHAVIORS
Jim X. Chen and Edward J. Wegman, George Mason University

1445 - 1645 CONTRIBUTED SESSION VI (in parallel with Contributed Session V)
George W. Johnson Center, Assembly Room B

Chair: Ann Brodeen, U.S. Army Research Laboratory

WAS EINSTEIN RIGHT?
Henry C. Alberts, Defense Systems Management College, Fort Belvoir

MANAGING MISCONDUCT: APPLYING STATISTICS TO SEXUAL
HARASSMENT ANALYSIS
LTC David H. Olwell Department of Math. Sciences, US Military Academy

METHODOLOGY FOR ASSESSING THE CONTRIBUTION OF
DIGITIZATION IN THE BATTLEFIELD
Michael Golden, Dr. Jock O. Grynovicki, Mr. Kragg Kysor, Dr. Madeline Swann
U.S. Army Research Laboratory

REGION OF INTEREST IDENTIFICATION IN AERIAL IMAGERY
Jeffrey L. Solka, Naval Surface Warfare Center

Friday, 24 October 1997

0830 - 0915 GENERAL SESSION V
George W. Johnson Center, Multipurpose Room

Chair: Edward J. Wegman, George Mason University

NOVEL VISUAL REPRESENTATIONS OF MOVEMENT
J. David Cooke, University of Western Ontario

0915 - 0930 Break

0930 - 1130 CONTRIBUTED SESSION VII
George W. Johnson Center, Assembly Room A
Chair: Carl Russell, Joint National Test Facility

USING PEARSON AND SPEARMAN STATISTICS TO LOOK FOR A
DEPENDENCE RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN TWO VARIABLES
Lorrie L. Hoffman, University of Central Florida
Mr. Dan Corson, Florida A&M University

SADDLEPOINT APPROXIMATIONS FOR THE JOINT DISTRIBUTION OF
THE MEAN AND AN EXTREMUM, WITH APPLICATIONS TO QUALITY
CONTROL
Mark Vangel, National Institute of Standards and Technology

EQUATIONS FOR THE QUANTILES OF THE MULTIVARIATE
STUDENTIZED RANGE: THE CASE OF THREE UNEQUAL GROUPS
Otto Schwalb and James R. Thompson, Rice University

AN IMAGE-BASED GRAND TOUR APPLIED TO MINE-FIEL DETECTION
Wendy L. Poston, Naval Surface Warfare Center
Edward J. Wegman, George Mason University

1130 - 1145 Break

1145 - 1245 GENERAL SESSION VI
George W. Johnson Center, Multipurpose Room

Chair: Barry A. Bodt, U.S. Army Research Laboratory

RECENT DEVELOPMENTS IN ROBUST DESIGN
Eric Lagergren, National Institute for Standards and Technology

1245 ADJOURN